2

Better Every Day

2yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 46

Meadowlands · Race 2 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f

#5

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength6%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Colonial Downs 28/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR - · 5f110y Slo 11928/06C7C6 @ Colonial Downs 16/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 40 · 5f110y Fm 119 · beat its mark16/07/2026 · OR 40 par16/07C6OR 40C7 @ Colonial Downs 06/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 53 · 1m Fm 119 · below its mark06/09/2026 · OR 53 par6/09C7OR 53projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 3
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06Colonial Downs?10th11th1
2026-07-16Colonial Downs?7th7th0
2026-06-28Colonial Downs?2nd3rd1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0616/076/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 5-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength37%

Delivery trend -40.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/06/20262nd20/10%75%+0.75
16/07/20267th25/10%40%+0.40
06/09/202610th16/116%10%-0.06