6
Caitlin Said Run
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 50
Meadowlands · Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f
#7
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Monmouth Park | ? | 6th | 9th | −3 |
| 2026-08-21 | Monmouth Park | ? | 5th | 8th | −3 |
| 2026-08-09 | Monmouth Park | ? | 8th | 11th | −3 |
| 2026-07-24 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-07-17 | Monmouth Park | ? | 6th | 9th | −3 |
| 2026-06-26 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength15%
Delivery trend -6.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 17/07/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 24/07/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 57% | -0.01 |
| 09/08/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 13% | -0.24 |
| 21/08/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 07/09/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |