5
Gypsy Style
5yo Mare · 8-13 · OR 59
Meadowlands · Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f
#6
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲2
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Monmouth Park | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-07-17 | Monmouth Park | ? | 9th | 12th | −3 |
| 2026-06-21 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-06-07 | Monmouth Park | ? | 6th | 9th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 17/10/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 23/05/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 07/06/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 21/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 17/07/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 09/08/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 16/08/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 12/09/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |