4
Mo Vita
4yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 47
Meadowlands · Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f
#1
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
30%
Place Prob
24%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Monmouth Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-06-26 | Monmouth Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Monmouth Park | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-17 | Meadowlands | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength71%
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/2025 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 13% | -0.40 |
| 23/08/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 13/09/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 17/10/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 88% | +0.06 |
| 16/05/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 71% | +0.14 |
| 30/05/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 11% | -0.05 |
| 26/06/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 36% | -0.11 |
| 09/08/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 22/08/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |