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Celestin Nonantais

3yo Gelding · 10-12

Moulins · Prix Tunis Handicap Hurdle · 2m 1f 87y

#6

Rank

Odds

11/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Dieppe 10/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 2m198y Sft 14510/0744 @ Dieppe 07/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 2m198y Sft 1507/0843 @ Dieppe 30/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 2m198y Hvy 15030/083projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30Dieppe33rd3rd0
2026-08-07Dieppe44th4th0
2026-07-10Dieppe44th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/077/0830/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +33.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/07/20264th12/137%40%+0.03
07/08/20264th33/10%63%+0.63
30/08/20263rd18/15%75%+0.70