2

Nacre Du Seuil
3yo Filly · 10-11
Moulins · Prix Tunis Handicap Hurdle · 2m 1f 87y
#7
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Clairefontaine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Clairefontaine | 1 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Dieppe | 2 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Auteuil | 1 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Auteuil | 1 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Auteuil | 1 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength44%
Delivery trend -4.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 29/03/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 25/04/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 57% | -0.14 |
| 16/05/2026 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 13% | -0.45 |
| 30/05/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 27/06/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 17/08/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 26/08/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 38% | -0.28 |