2

Nacre Du Seuil

3yo Filly · 10-11

Moulins · Prix Tunis Handicap Hurdle · 2m 1f 87y

#7

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Fontainebleau 09/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m6f200y Ver 1479/03C?2 @ Fontainebleau 29/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m6f200y Sft 1431 @ Auteuil 25/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m6f200y Hvy 14525/0411 @ Auteuil 16/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 2m1f87y Sft 1431 @ Auteuil 30/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 2m1f87y Sft 13930/0512 @ Dieppe 27/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 2m198y Sft 1501 @ Clairefontaine 17/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR - · 2m198y Sft 15017/081C0 @ Clairefontaine 26/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 2m1f196y Sft 14826/08C?projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26Clairefontaine?6th6th0
2026-08-17Clairefontaine14th4th0
2026-06-27Dieppe23rd3rd0
2026-05-30Auteuil15th5th0
2026-05-16Auteuil18th8th0
2026-04-25Auteuil14th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0316/0517/0826/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength44%

Delivery trend -4.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/03/20264th8/158%67%+0.09
29/03/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
25/04/20264th11/271%57%-0.14
16/05/20268th8/158%13%-0.45
30/05/20265th16/116%33%+0.18
27/06/20263rd6/168%67%-0.02
17/08/20264th12/137%25%-0.12
26/08/20266th13/266%38%-0.28