3

Nirvana Delabrunie

3yo Gelding · 10-11

Moulins · Prix Tunis Handicap Hurdle · 2m 1f 87y

#5

Rank

Odds

13/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Fontainebleau 29/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 1m6f200y Sft 14729/032C0 @ La Teste De Buch 22/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 2m198y GS 14722/04C?3 @ Dieppe 01/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 2m198y Sft 1471/063projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-01Dieppe34th4th0
2026-04-22La Teste De Buch?2nd2nd0
2026-03-29Fontainebleau27th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0322/041/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength41%

Delivery trend -2.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/03/20267th16/116%25%+0.09
22/04/20262nd8/158%86%+0.28
01/06/20264th8/158%63%+0.05