4

Bibiche

5yo Filly · 11-3

Moulins · Prix Prince Gibraltar Handicap Hurdle · 2m 1f 87y

#2

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

20%

Place Prob

30%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Saint-Malo 08/08/2024 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m7f199y GS 1478/08C8C8 @ Compiegne 02/04/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 2m198y Ver 147C8 @ Compiegne 14/05/2025 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 2m1f196y Ver 15414/05C8C8 @ Auteuil 27/05/2025 · Pos 13th of 13 · OR - · 2m1f196y Ver 145C8 @ Cholet 02/06/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 2m2f86y Gd 1582/06C8C0 @ Chateaubriant 25/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 2m1f142y Sft 154C8 @ Clairefontaine 16/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 2m1f196y Sft 15616/07C8C0 @ Dieppe 08/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 2m198y Ver 152C8 @ Dieppe 31/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 2m198y Hvy 15831/08C8projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-08-31Dieppe?4th4th0
2025-08-08Dieppe?5th5th0
2025-07-16Clairefontaine?1st1st0
2025-06-25Chateaubriant?1st1st0
2025-06-02Cholet?6th6th0
2025-05-27Auteuil?13th13th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0827/0516/0731/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -1.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/08/20242nd8/158%89%+0.31
02/04/20252nd13/266%90%+0.24
14/05/20254th11/486%75%-0.11
27/05/202513th13/266%0%-0.66
02/06/20256th5/493%29%-0.65
25/06/20251st10/382%100%+0.18
16/07/20251st11/486%100%+0.14
08/08/20255th9/153%67%+0.14
31/08/20254th10/382%70%-0.12