10

Les Flots Bleus

5yo Filly · 10-1

Moulins · Prix Prince Gibraltar Handicap Hurdle · 2m 1f 87y

#3

Rank

Odds

11/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Compiegne 23/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 18 · OR - · 2m2f195y Sft 14523/03C?C8 @ Compiegne 01/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 2m2f195y Hvy 145C8 @ Auteuil 06/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 2m1f196y Hvy 1416/05C8C8 @ Auteuil 26/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 2m1f196y Ver 145C8 @ Dieppe 27/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 2m2f195y Sft 14527/06C8C8 @ Clairefontaine 15/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 2m3f85y Sft 143C0 @ Clairefontaine 27/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 2m3f85y Ver 14827/07C?C0 @ Clairefontaine 17/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 2m1f196y Sft 136C8 @ Compiegne 09/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 2m1f196y Hvy 1479/09C8projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Compiegne?3rd3rd0
2026-08-17Clairefontaine?8th8th0
2026-07-27Clairefontaine?7th7th0
2026-07-15Clairefontaine?4th4th0
2026-06-27Dieppe?8th8th0
2026-06-18Dieppe?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0326/0527/079/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength46%

Delivery trend -3.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/03/20267th33/10%65%+0.65
01/04/20263rd4/179%80%+0.01
06/05/20262nd14/126%90%+0.64
26/05/20264th6/168%73%+0.04
27/06/20268th12/137%30%-0.07
15/07/20264th12/137%63%+0.26
27/07/20267th15/261%40%-0.21
17/08/20268th25/10%50%+0.50
09/09/20263rd13/266%78%+0.12