9
Toronado Bello
5yo Gelding · 10-5
Moulins · Prix Prince Gibraltar Handicap Hurdle · 2m 1f 87y
#1
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
80%
Place Prob
61%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Dieppe | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Clairefontaine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Vittel | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Dieppe | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength64%
Delivery trend -5.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/04/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 42% | +0.36 |
| 06/05/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 26/05/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 05/06/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 27/06/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 06/07/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 50% | -0.05 |
| 27/07/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 13/08/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 30/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |