1
Touz The Crown
5yo Gelding · 11-4
Moulins · Prix Prince Gibraltar Handicap Hurdle · 2m 1f 87y
#5
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Auteuil | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Clairefontaine | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Vittel | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Dieppe | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Auteuil | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Auteuil | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +4.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/01/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 20/01/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |
| 20/04/2026 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 53% | -0.05 |
| 06/05/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 70% | +0.28 |
| 26/05/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 64% | +0.06 |
| 10/06/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 73% | -0.04 |
| 06/07/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 88% | +0.03 |
| 17/08/2026 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 29% | +0.13 |
| 08/09/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |