1

Illarant

6yo Gelding · 11-4

Moulins · Prix Pretty Tiger Handicap Chase · 2m 2f 195y

#3

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

8%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Le Lion D'angers 13/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 2m3f85y Sft 15813/08C?C0 @ Craon 06/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR - · 2m3f194y Sft 1586/09C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06Craon?1st1st0
2026-08-13Le Lion D'angers?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/086/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +32.7% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/08/20263rd7/491%67%-0.24
06/09/20261st13/891%100%+0.09