4

Juval

6yo Gelding · 11-2

Moulins · Prix Pretty Tiger Handicap Chase · 2m 2f 195y

#5

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Chateaubriant 05/06/2023 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f38y Sft 1285/06C5C5 @ Senonnes-Pouance 05/07/2023 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f91y GS 1285/07C5C0 @ Angers 27/10/2023 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 1m7f90y Sft 14727/10C?C0 @ Craon 22/09/2024 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 2m4f83y Ver 15122/09C?C0 @ Toulouse 07/04/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 2m1f87y GS 1567/04C?C0 @ Dax 02/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 2m4f83y Gd 1472/07C?projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-07-02Dax?4th4th0
2025-04-07Toulouse?1st1st0
2024-09-22Craon?10th10th0
2023-10-27Angers?9th9th0
2023-07-05Senonnes-Pouance?9th9th0
2023-06-05Chateaubriant?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/065/0727/1022/097/042/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 6-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength15%

Delivery trend -9.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/06/20236th33/10%50%+0.50
05/07/20239th25/10%47%+0.47
27/10/20239th50/10%38%+0.38
22/09/202410th40/10%18%+0.18
07/04/20251st9/153%100%+0.47
02/07/20254th15/261%50%-0.11