9

Lady Du Clos

5yo Filly · 10-8

Moulins · Prix Pretty Tiger Handicap Chase · 2m 2f 195y

#7

Rank

Odds

13/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength5%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Clairefontaine 30/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 2m1f196y Hvy 14530/06C?C0 @ Auteuil 13/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 2m1f196y Hvy 146C0 @ Fontainebleau 13/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 2m1f142y Sft 14113/10C?C0 @ Fontainebleau 28/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 2m3f30y Sft 1433 @ Fontainebleau 15/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 2m1f142y Ver 15415/043C0 @ Strasbourg 08/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 2m2f195y Sft 1513 @ Dieppe 10/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 2m3f85y Sft 14310/0633 @ Clairefontaine 24/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR - · 2m2f86y Sft 143C0 @ Clairefontaine 27/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 2m3f85y Ver 15127/07C?projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-27Clairefontaine?5th5th0
2026-06-24Clairefontaine33rd3rd0
2026-06-10Dieppe34th4th0
2026-05-08Strasbourg?6th6th0
2026-04-15Fontainebleau38th8th0
2025-10-28Fontainebleau?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0628/1010/0627/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength88%

Delivery trend +4.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/06/20253rd11/271%85%+0.14
13/09/20255th9/153%71%+0.19
13/10/20257th18/15%45%+0.40
28/10/20254th12/137%63%+0.26
15/04/20268th50/10%30%+0.30
08/05/20266th33/10%58%+0.58
10/06/20264th33/10%67%+0.67
24/06/20263rd16/116%33%+0.18
27/07/20265th16/116%69%+0.53