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3

Liner De Guye

5yo Gelding · 11-2

Moulins · Prix Pretty Tiger Handicap Chase · 2m 2f 195y

#1

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

86%

Place Prob

66%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 2.8)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Moulins 14/04/2024 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 13614/04C5C0 @ Strasbourg 29/05/2024 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 2m88y GS 14729/05C?3 @ Strasbourg 16/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 2m1f196y GS 14716/0633 @ Vittel 27/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 2m1f196y Gd 16327/073projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-27Vittel31st1st0
2026-06-16Strasbourg33rd3rd0
2024-05-29Strasbourg?3rd3rd0
2024-04-14Moulins?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0429/0516/0627/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +5.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/04/20244th9/153%50%-0.03
29/05/20243rd15/261%78%+0.17
16/06/20263rd13/266%71%+0.06
27/07/20261st7/282%100%+0.18