8

Manchego

10yo Gelding · 10-12

Moulins · Prix Pretty Tiger Handicap Chase · 2m 2f 195y

#9

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Pau 20/12/2022 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 2m2f195y Hvy 14120/12C?C0 @ Fontainebleau 01/04/2023 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 2m2f195y Ver 152C0 @ Fontainebleau 19/04/2023 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 2m3f30y Hvy 16119/04C?C0 @ Vichy 28/05/2023 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 2m3f85y Sft 154C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 25/06/2023 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 2m4f83y Sft 15125/06C?C0 @ Pau 11/12/2024 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 2m2f195y Hvy 147C0 @ Strasbourg 16/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 2m4f193y GS 15716/06C?4 @ Vittel 27/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 2m2f195y Gd 147C8 @ Compiegne 09/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 2m1f196y Hvy 1589/09C8projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Compiegne?5th5th0
2026-07-27Vittel45th5th0
2026-07-10Dieppe40
2026-06-16Strasbourg?7th7th0
2024-12-11Pau?5th5th0
2024-11-23Lyon-Parilly?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/1228/0516/069/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 8-9 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -7.0% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/12/20223rd12/137%71%+0.35
01/04/20235th20/10%56%+0.56
19/04/20233rd11/142%67%+0.25
28/05/20231st9/488%100%+0.12
25/06/20232nd5/287%88%+0.01
11/12/20245th20/10%33%+0.33
16/06/20267th13/891%40%-0.51
27/07/20265th7/163%43%-0.20
09/09/20265th12/137%56%+0.19