6

Osaxalina

7yo Mare · 11-0

Moulins · Prix Pretty Tiger Handicap Chase · 2m 2f 195y

#4

Rank

Odds

11/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Fontainebleau 28/10/2024 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 2m4f193y Ver 15428/10C?C0 @ Fontainebleau 03/12/2024 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 2m5f191y Sft 153C0 @ Fontainebleau 25/02/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 2m2f195y Hvy 15025/02C?C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 16/03/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 2m4f83y Hvy 153C0 @ Fontainebleau 29/03/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 2m3f30y Sft 15429/03C?C0 @ Fontainebleau 16/04/2025 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 2m1f142y Yie 152C0 @ Compiegne 07/05/2025 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 2m2f195y Ver 1587/05C?3 @ Fontainebleau 09/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 2m2f195y Ver 147C0 @ Nancy 04/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 2m4f193y Sft 1584/04C?projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-04Nancy?2nd2nd0
2026-03-09Fontainebleau38th8th0
2026-02-14Auteuil?0
2025-05-07Compiegne?11th11th0
2025-04-16Fontainebleau?5th5th0
2025-03-29Fontainebleau?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/1016/037/054/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength54%

Delivery trend -1.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/10/20244th14/126%77%+0.51
03/12/20245th15/261%56%-0.05
25/02/20252nd9/153%86%+0.33
16/03/20254th5/174%70%-0.04
29/03/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
16/04/20255th10/147%67%+0.19
07/05/202511th14/126%33%+0.07
09/03/20268th33/10%22%+0.22
04/04/20262nd11/271%90%+0.19