8

Nairobi Delabrunie

3yo Filly · 9-10

Moulins · Prix Yves D'armaille - Arab Group 3 · 1m 3f 204y

#2

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

31%

Place Prob

40%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move4
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 1.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: -3.9
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Dieppe 17/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 14017/07C5
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-17Dieppe?1st6th4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-4 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength82%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/07/20261st6/594%100%+0.06