1

Nazca Du Fruitier

3yo Filly · 9-10

Moulins · Prix Yves D'armaille - Arab Group 3 · 1m 3f 204y

#9

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move4
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 11.7 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: -3.9
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Moulins 28/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 13628/08C5
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Moulins?7th12th4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 5-10 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength17%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/08/20267th40/10%33%+0.33