8

Inouie Tiepy
8yo Mare · 10-3
Moulins · Prix Karaktar Cross Country Chase · 3m 3f 74y
#3
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength8%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 1
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-23 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 0 | ||
| 2024-05-09 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2024-04-22 | Strasbourg | ? | 0 | ||
| 2024-02-14 | Pau | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2024-01-10 | Pau | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2023-12-19 | Pau | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 6-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength10%
Delivery trend -26.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/11/2023 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 10/01/2024 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 14/02/2024 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 88% | +0.05 |
| 09/05/2024 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 60% | -0.26 |