8

Inouie Tiepy

8yo Mare · 10-3

Moulins · Prix Karaktar Cross Country Chase · 3m 3f 74y

#3

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength8%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 2.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 1
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Nancy 17/11/2023 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 3m188y Hvy 14517/11C?C0 @ Pau 10/01/2024 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 2m4f83y Std 15010/01C?C0 @ Pau 14/02/2024 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 2m4f83y Hvy 15014/02C?C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 09/05/2024 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 3m1f186y Hvy 1619/05C?projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2024-06-23Lyon-Parilly?0
2024-05-09Lyon-Parilly?3rd3rd0
2024-04-22Strasbourg?0
2024-02-14Pau?2nd2nd0
2024-01-10Pau?1st1st0
2023-12-19Pau?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/1110/0114/029/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 6-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength10%

Delivery trend -26.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/11/20235th20/10%60%+0.60
10/01/20241st2/189%100%+0.11
14/02/20242nd10/382%88%+0.05
09/05/20243rd11/486%60%-0.26