2
Keep Calm Dariyan
6yo Gelding · 11-4
Moulins · Prix Karaktar Cross Country Chase · 3m 3f 74y
#4
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.7
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Clairefontaine | ? | 7th | 11th | −3 |
| 2026-07-17 | Dieppe | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Dieppe | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Le Lion D'angers | 1 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-20 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-07 | Lignieres | 3 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength35%
Delivery trend -3.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/05/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 08/06/2025 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 03/08/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 07/04/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 20/04/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 14/05/2026 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 13% | -0.53 |
| 27/06/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 17/07/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 26/08/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |