IvyArcIvyArc
3

North Way

5yo Gelding · 11-4

Moulins · Prix Karaktar Cross Country Chase · 3m 3f 74y

#1

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

91%

Place Prob

74%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 1.0)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.7
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Strasbourg 22/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 3m1f186y Sft 15422/0331 @ Strasbourg 18/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 3m1f186y Sft 15218/0411 @ Lyon-Parilly 06/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 3m1f186y Hvy 1566/061projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-06Lyon-Parilly11st1st0
2026-04-18Strasbourg11st1st0
2026-03-22Strasbourg31st3rd−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0318/046/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength94%

Delivery trend +3.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/03/20261st8/1597%100%+0.03
18/04/20261st7/491%100%+0.09
06/06/20261st2/189%100%+0.11