1
Nectar Vergoignan
3yo Gelding · 10-0
Moulins · Prix Chanducoq Stakes · 1m 3f 204y
#3
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength10%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.2
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Vichy | 1 | 3rd | -2th | +4 |
| 2026-07-30 | Vichy | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Vichy | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 11-11 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -13.6% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 30/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 15/08/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |