IvyArcIvyArc
6

Moon Light Allen

4yo Filly · 10-7

Moulins · Prix David Du Berlais Chase · 2m 2f 86y

#2

Rank

Odds

13/1

Win Prob

55%

Place Prob

52%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Angers 12/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 2m198y Hvy 14512/024C0 @ Fontainebleau 09/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 2m1f142y Ver 1439/03C?3 @ Le Lion D'angers 05/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 2m2f86y Hvy 1475/043projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-30Dieppe4−1
2026-04-05Le Lion D'angers31st1st0
2026-03-09Fontainebleau?4th4th0
2026-02-12Angers46th7th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/029/035/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength90%

Delivery trend +15.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/02/20266th5/174%62%-0.12
09/03/20264th20/10%77%+0.77
05/04/20261st7/282%100%+0.18