1
Nokia Des Mottes
3yo Gelding · 10-12
Moulins · Prix Ivanhowe Hurdle · 2m 1f 87y
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-28 | Compiegne | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-04-30 | Dieppe | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1564% of fieldRange 13-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength15%
Delivery trend -36.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/04/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 77% | +0.30 |
| 28/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |