12
Sugarcane
3yo Filly · 10-3
Moulins · Prix Ivanhowe Hurdle · 2m 1f 87y
#13
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 10.1 /10 (raw 8.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Vichy | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Marseille-borely | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2025-09-08 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1536% of fieldRange 3-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength44%
Delivery trend -0.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 55% | +0.39 |
| 07/08/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 08/09/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 40% | -0.28 |
| 27/09/2025 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 33% | -0.56 |
| 12/04/2026 | 15th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/04/2026 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 21/06/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 22/07/2026 | 13th | 25/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |