1

Admiral Leach

2yo Colt · 9-7

Newbury · Kennet Valley Syndicates Nick Robinson EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f

#16

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#16

Timeform

Commentary

More one for the longer term based on his pair of 7f starts in recent weeks.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.5 /10 (raw 9.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newmarket 14/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 7f GF 13314/0844 @ Kempton 04/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 7f Sta 1334/094projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Kempton49th9th0
2026-08-14Newmarket410th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/084/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1620% of fieldRange 8-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength57%

Delivery trend +23.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/08/202610th66/10%10%+0.10
04/09/20269th150/10%33%+0.33