2

Al Widyan

2yo Colt · 9-7 · OR 78

Newbury · Kennet Valley Syndicates Nick Robinson EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

99%

Place Prob

86%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Stepped up on his Newmarket debut fourth when close third of 12 in novice at Kempton (6f) 16 days ago. In the right hands to progress again.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength4%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newmarket 07/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR - · 6f GF 1307/0844 @ Kempton 02/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 6f Sta 1332/094projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 4
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Kempton43rd3rd0
2026-08-07Newmarket44th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/082/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16100% of fieldRange 2-2 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength97%

Delivery trend +17.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/08/20264th11/142%25%-0.17
02/09/20263rd7/282%82%+0.00