8

Oakford

2yo Colt · 9-7

Newbury · Kennet Valley Syndicates Nick Robinson EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f

#7

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Twice-raced colt. Left debut behind when second of 6 in novice at Goodwood (6f, soft) in June. Back from a break with his yard in better form that it was at that time. Should go well.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength16%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Salisbury 14/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 5f Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS14/0534 @ Goodwood 07/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 6f Sft 1307/064projClass-projected finish: 1st of 4
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-07Goodwood42nd2nd0
2026-05-14Salisbury35th4th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/057/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1680% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +60.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/05/20265th16/116%20%+0.04
07/06/20262nd16/116%80%+0.64