14

Worthawhistle

2yo Colt · 9-7

Newbury · Kennet Valley Syndicates Nick Robinson EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f

#14

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

★★ Timeform

Commentary

12/1, tenth of 11 in maiden at Ascot (7f, good) on debut 14 days ago, weakening. Down in trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength22%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 8.8 /10 (raw 10.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Ascot 04/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 7f Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS4/093
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Ascot310th9th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1613% of fieldRange 8-13 · 50%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength2%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 14th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/09/202610th12/137%10%-0.27