4

Learning

2yo Filly · 9-0

Newbury · Dubai Duty Free Full Of Surprises British EBF Fillies' Conditions Stakes (GBB Race) (Str) · 7f

#5

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Held back by inexperience in a sales race in France on debut and left that form well behind when 1¼ lengths fourth of 8 to Miss Miniver in maiden at Salisbury (7f, good to soft) on 15 days ago, running on. Open to further progress.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Deauville 13/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 12513/08C52 @ Salisbury 03/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 6f213y Goo 1283/092projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Salisbury24th4th0
2026-08-13Deauville?5th8th3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/083/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 525% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +41.9% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 5. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/08/20265th7/282%60%-0.22
03/09/20264th12/137%57%+0.20