5
Spirit Of Lyra
2yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 81
Newbury · Dubai Duty Free Full Of Surprises British EBF Fillies' Conditions Stakes (GBB Race) (Str) · 7f
#4
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 2.3)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 2
Class gap: -3.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Salisbury | 5 | 2nd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-07-25 | Lingfield | 5 | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-07-06 | Ripon | 5 | 4th | 8th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 2-3 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength64%
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 5.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 70% | -0.06 |
| 25/07/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 21/08/2026 | 2nd | 4/7 | 97% | 91% | -0.06 |