3
Sweetwonderfulyou
2yo Filly · 9-4 · OR 86
Newbury · Dubai Duty Free Full Of Surprises British EBF Fillies' Conditions Stakes (GBB Race) (Str) · 7f
#1
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
97%
Place Prob
82%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength11%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 2.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Newbury | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-24 | Ascot | 3 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 575% of fieldRange 4-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength34%
Delivery trend -52.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |
| 14/08/2026 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |