7
Mojito Madness
2yo Colt · 9-1 · OR 77
Newbury · Dubai Duty Free Nursery (Str) · 7f
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#8
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength47%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Newmarket | 2 | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2026-07-19 | Redcar | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Epsom Downs | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Leicester | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 3-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength53%
Delivery trend +10.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/06/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |
| 01/07/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 19/07/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 22/08/2026 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |