6

Next Of Kin

2yo Filly · 9-1 · OR 77

Newbury · Dubai Duty Free Nursery (Str) · 7f

#3

Rank

Odds

10/3

Win Prob

12%

Place Prob

14%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Kingman filly who built on her 6f course debut third when landing short odds in 6f Ayr maiden last month. Moves up to 7f for her nursery debut. Likely more to come for top stable.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength9%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newbury 17/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 6f GF 12817/0744 @ Ayr 10/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 6f Goo 12810/084projClass-projected finish: 1st of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-10Ayr41st1st0
2026-07-17Newbury43rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0710/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 3-3 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength83%

Delivery trend -4.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/07/20263rd11/271%80%+0.09
10/08/20261st10/1195%100%+0.05