12
Sakowin
2yo Colt · 8-8 · OR 70
Newbury · Dubai Duty Free Nursery (Str) · 7f
#6
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Kempton | 6 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-06-14 | Salisbury | 3 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-05-30 | Lingfield | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Newbury | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength74%
Delivery trend +1.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 30/05/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 43% | -0.23 |
| 14/06/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 19/08/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |