Weleyff

2yo Colt · 9-9 · OR 85

Newbury · Dubai Duty Free Nursery (Str) · 7f

#7

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark

Move▼1

Strength60%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 2

Recent avg: C3.0

Today: 4

Class gap: +1.0

Higher-class runs: 3

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-08-20	York	2	16th	14th	+2	1.0
2026-08-01	Doncaster	4	1st	1st	0	9.0
2026-07-13	Ayr	3	1st	0th	+1	5.0
2026-06-16	Beverley	3	3rd	2nd	+1	8.2

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 10-13 · 68%

▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price

Trend▼

Strength0%

Delivery trend -20.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
16/06/2026	3rd	8/1	58%	67%	+0.09
13/07/2026	1st	15/8	90%	100%	+0.10
01/08/2026	1st	5/4	93%	100%	+0.07
20/08/2026	16th	11/2	71%	12%	-0.59