1

Algaihabane

2yo Colt · 9-4

Newbury · Haynes Hanson & Clark Conditions Stakes (Str) · 1m

#5

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Needed experience when beaten favourite on debut and different proposition when holding on gamely at Sandown (7f, good to soft) just 9 days later. Holds a Group 1 entry so evidently well regarded by his top stable.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Kempton 19/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 7f Sta 13019/0833 @ Sandown 28/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 7f Gd 12828/083projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Sandown31st2nd1
2026-08-19Kempton37th8th1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0828/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +72.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/08/20267th11/1094%45%-0.49
28/08/20261st9/276%100%+0.24