7

Grove Street

2yo Colt · 9-0 · OR 84

Newbury · Haynes Hanson & Clark Conditions Stakes (Str) · 1m

#7

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fairly useful form when runner-up at Sandown and Chepstow (both 7f, good) in recent months. Entered in Group 1 Futurity and could be even more to come for in-form stable now moving up to 1m.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength13%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Sandown 29/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 7f Goo 13029/0733 @ Chepstow 18/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR - · 7f16y GF 13318/083projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-18Chepstow32nd3rd1
2026-07-29Sandown32nd3rd1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0718/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 10-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -87.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/07/20262nd16/116%80%+0.64
18/08/20262nd2/598%75%-0.23