8

Impasto

2yo Colt · 9-0

Newbury · Haynes Hanson & Clark Conditions Stakes (Str) · 1m

#6

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

10/3, shaped with plenty of encouragement when second of 11 in maiden at Ascot (7f, good) on debut 14 days ago. Looks sure to progress for top connections.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Ascot 04/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 7f Goo 1334/093
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Ascot32nd3rd1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-5 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength62%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/09/20262nd10/382%90%+0.08