4
The Balearic Sun
2yo Colt · 9-4
Newbury · Haynes Hanson & Clark Conditions Stakes (Str) · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Epsom Downs | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-03 | Sandown | 2 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +71.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07/2026 | 9th | 5/1 | 74% | 11% | -0.63 |
| 16/07/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |