Catullus
3yo Gelding · 9-1 · OR 107
Newbury · Dubai Duty Free Cup Stakes (Listed) (Str) · 7f
#4
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 3.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Goodwood | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | +0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Royal Ascot | 1 | 10th | 10th | +0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Goodwood | 2 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-02-06 | Meydan | ? | 7th | 11th | −4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Meydan | ? | 2nd | 6th | −4 |
| 2025-09-25 | Newmarket | 1 | 4th | 4th | +0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.4% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 24/07/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 90% | +0.02 |
| 15/08/2025 | 1st | 1/14 | 100% | 100% | +0.00 |
| 25/09/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 02/01/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 92% | +0.02 |
| 06/02/2026 | 7th | 11/8 | 93% | 50% | -0.43 |
| 23/05/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 20/06/2026 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |
| 31/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |