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Fondo Blanco

4yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 104

Newbury · Dubai Duty Free Cup Stakes (Listed) (Str) · 7f

#8

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Ended last season (landed 1m Haydock handicap) in fine form. Back on the up in recent weeks when runner-up in 7f Goodwood handicap and third of 9 in Superior Mile at Haydock (1m, soft). A likely player again.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength21%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.6
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Leicester 26/05/2025 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 85 · 6f Goo 132 · beat its mark26/05/2025 · OR 85 par26/053OR 854 @ Southwell 17/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 85 · 7f14y Std 135 · beat its mark17/08/2025 · OR 85 par3 @ Ascot 05/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 88 · 7f Sft 131 · beat its mark05/09/2025 · OR 88 par5/093OR 882 @ Haydock 27/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 90 · 7f212y Goo 124 · beat its mark27/09/2025 · OR 90 par1 @ Nottingham 29/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 101 · 1m75y Sft 127 · beat its mark29/10/2025 · OR 101 par29/101OR 1012 @ Royal Ascot 18/06/2026 · Pos 21st of 28 · OR 103 · 7f GF 136 · below its mark18/06/2026 · OR 103 par2 @ Ascot 08/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 102 · 7f213y GF 137 · below its mark08/08/2026 · OR 102 par8/082OR 1022 @ Goodwood 29/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 101 · 7f GS 135 · beat its mark29/08/2026 · OR 101 par1 @ Haydock 05/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 101 · 7f212y Hvy 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 101 par5/091OR 101projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Haydock13rd3rd+0
2026-08-29Goodwood22nd3rd−1
2026-08-08Ascot210th11th−1
2026-06-18Royal Ascot221th22th−1
2025-10-29Nottingham14th4th0
2025-09-27Haydock21st2nd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0527/098/085/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +6.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/05/20257th16/583%50%-0.33
17/08/20252nd6/492%89%-0.03
05/09/20252nd4/179%90%+0.11
27/09/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
29/10/20254th15/261%57%-0.03
18/06/202621st50/10%26%+0.26
08/08/202610th12/137%0%-0.37
29/08/20262nd14/126%90%+0.64
05/09/20263rd11/142%75%+0.33