Spy Chief
4yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 108
Newbury · Dubai Duty Free Cup Stakes (Listed) (Str) · 7f
#6
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.4 /10 (raw 6.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Royal Ascot | 2 | 25th | 26th | −1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Salisbury | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Ascot | 1 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2025-09-19 | Newbury | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-16 | Newbury | 1 | 6th | 6th | +0 |
| 2025-07-12 | Newmarket | 1 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -6.7% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/05/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 89% | +0.05 |
| 12/06/2025 | 1st | 7/5 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 21/06/2025 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 12/07/2025 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 16/08/2025 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 44% | -0.16 |
| 19/09/2025 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 18/10/2025 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 61% | +0.61 |
| 23/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 89% | +0.15 |
| 20/06/2026 | 25th | 5/1 | 74% | 8% | -0.66 |