Zoum Zoum
5yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 101
Newbury · Dubai Duty Free Cup Stakes (Listed) (Str) · 7f
#3
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Deauville | 1 | 7th | 7th | +0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Newcastle | 1 | 5th | 5th | +0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Salisbury | 1 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-11-28 | Southwell | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-08 | Doncaster | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-05 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 11th | 10th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.8% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/2025 | 13th | 10/1 | 47% | 56% | +0.08 |
| 26/07/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 70% | +0.33 |
| 13/09/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 05/10/2025 | 11th | 100/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 08/11/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 92% | +0.21 |
| 28/11/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 92% | +0.06 |
| 23/05/2026 | 9th | 17/2 | 55% | 11% | -0.44 |
| 27/06/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 30/08/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |