8

Bintknight

3yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 79

Newbury · Dubai Duty Free Fillies' Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 4f

#8

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#8

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Quickly doubled her tally on handicap bow at Lingfield (1¼m) in August. Not seen to ideal effect under a patient ride when a close fourth of 8 to Gloryous at Kempton (1½m) last time. Remains likely capable of better and not taken lightly here.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength59%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.9 /10 (raw 2.6)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.4
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Ascot 08/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 1m1f212y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS8/0523 @ Lingfield 26/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR - · 1m2f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS26/0534 @ Doncaster 03/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 76 · 1m2f43y GF 123 · beat its mark03/07/2026 · OR 76 par3/074OR 764 @ Lingfield 01/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 77 · 1m2f Goo 126 · beat its mark01/08/2026 · OR 77 par1/084OR 774 @ Kempton 26/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 79 · 1m3f219y Sta 132 · beat its mark26/08/2026 · OR 79 par26/084OR 79projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26Kempton44th4th0
2026-08-01Lingfield41st1st0
2026-07-03Doncaster42nd2nd0
2026-05-26Lingfield31st0th+1
2026-05-08Ascot25th3rd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0526/053/071/0826/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 5-11 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength36%

Delivery trend -5.1% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/05/20265th12/137%33%-0.04
26/05/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
03/07/20262nd7/163%86%+0.23
01/08/20261st13/891%100%+0.09
26/08/20264th10/382%57%-0.25