12
Glenna
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 70
Newbury · Dubai Duty Free Fillies' Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 4f
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Goodwood | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Southwell | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-27 | Windsor | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-11 | Newbury | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Newbury | 5 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-04-08 | Nottingham | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 8-11 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength25%
Delivery trend -11.6% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08/2025 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 63% | +0.57 |
| 01/09/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 24/09/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 08/04/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 63% | +0.26 |
| 15/05/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 69% | +0.22 |
| 11/06/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 83% | +0.25 |
| 27/06/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 27/07/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 75% | -0.14 |
| 28/08/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 60% | -0.29 |