6

Lady Magu

3yo Filly · 9-7 · OR 83

Newbury · Dubai Duty Free Fillies' Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 4f

#1

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

22%

Place Prob

25%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Upwardly-mobile Sea The Moon filly who landed maiden at Ffos Las (1¼m) in June before impressively following up on her handicap debut at Wolverhampton (1½m) in July. Hiked up 8 lb but she has more to offer after a break and merits serious consideration in her hat-trick bid.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength30%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Lingfield 27/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f Std 12527/0442 @ Goodwood 23/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 1m1f197y Gd 126 · HIGHER CLASS23/0524 @ Ffos Las 17/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 1m2f Sft 12617/0645 @ Wolverhampton 14/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 75 · 1m4f51y Std 131 · beat its mark14/07/2026 · OR 75 par14/075OR 75projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-14Wolverhampton51st2nd1
2026-06-17Ffos Las41st1st0
2026-05-23Goodwood25th3rd+2
2026-04-27Lingfield45th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0423/0517/0614/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +14.0% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/04/20265th4/179%64%-0.15
23/05/20265th11/271%43%-0.28
17/06/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
14/07/20261st3/184%100%+0.16