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Parlando

7yo Gelding · 10-1 · OR 86

Newbury · Fitzdares Handicap (GBBPlus Race) (Div 1) · 1m 2f

#4

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

5%

Place Prob

12%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Bounced back to form with success in 1¼m handicap at Chester in July and followed it with a creditable fourth of 8 in handicap at Windsor (1¼m, firm) 36 days ago. Not out of things off an unchanged mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength72%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.7
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Newcastle 16/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR 89 · 1m2f42y Std 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/01/2026 · OR 89 par16/012OR 893 @ Kempton 02/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 90 · 1m3f219y Sta 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/03/2026 · OR 90 par2 @ Newcastle 03/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 90 · 1m2f42y Std 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/04/2026 · OR 90 par3/042OR 902 @ Pontefract 21/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 89 · 1m2f5y Goo 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/04/2026 · OR 89 par2 @ Epsom Downs 28/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 89 · 1m2f17y Gd 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/04/2026 · OR 89 par28/042OR 892 @ Redcar 25/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 87 · 1m2f1y Goo 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/05/2026 · OR 87 par3 @ York 13/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 85 · 1m3f188y Goo 145 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/06/2026 · OR 85 par13/063OR 854 @ Chester 25/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 83 · 1m2f70y Goo 140 · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 83 par3 @ Windsor 13/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 86 · 1m2f GF 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/08/2026 · OR 86 par13/083OR 86projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-13Windsor34th3rd+1
2026-07-25Chester41st1st0
2026-06-13York38th7th+1
2026-05-25Redcar28th6th+2
2026-04-28Epsom Downs26th4th+2
2026-04-21Pontefract23rd1st+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0121/0413/0613/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength45%

Delivery trend -0.3% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 5th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/01/20262nd9/276%92%+0.15
02/03/20263rd9/276%75%-0.01
03/04/20269th11/142%38%-0.04
21/04/20263rd11/142%71%+0.29
28/04/20266th5/174%0%-0.74
25/05/20268th40/10%22%+0.22
13/06/20268th10/147%13%-0.35
25/07/20261st13/266%100%+0.34
13/08/20264th17/255%57%+0.02