6
Mohaaraj
3yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 86
Newbury · Fitzdares Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 2f 0y
#6
Rank
Odds
SP
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-13 | Sandown | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-09 | Haydock | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-11 | Kempton | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-08 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 3048% of fieldRange 19-30 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -40.3% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 16th of 30. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 11/02/2026 | 1st | 8/15 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 09/05/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 13/06/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |